Statistical Analysis of Malaysia External Trade Performance

Ang, Jun Siang (2016) Statistical Analysis of Malaysia External Trade Performance. Final Year Project (Bachelor), Tunku Abdul Rahman University College.

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Abstract

In this project report, we investigate the time series in Malaysia External Trade(MATRADE). The report consists of six chapters. In Chapter 1, we introduce the theory of the time series and the objective for this project. In Chapter 2, we present some literature review of export, import and economic growth. In this project, I had studied a few models of time series analysis and regression analysis applied to a export and import trade data for investigation. The time series models used in this pro ject was ARIMA. At the end of the project, the better model for the specific export and import at the time will be chosen after the results had been compared. The most suitable model selected will be used for fu ture export and import trade prediction. Besi de that, the IBM SPSS provide results of analysis and forecasting. Keyword: Forecasting, time series, regression, ARIMA